Stock Market daily notes
18-11-2023:
The process to be followed:
Keep a track on your portfolio with 15-20 Max.
Ride your winning horses and look at averaging up rather than averaging down.
Stock allocation
Minimum allocation should be 4-5 % (of your entire portfolio amount).
The maximum allocation should not exceed 15% for a single stock. 20% is also acceptable in some cases.
Sectorally not more than 30%.
Don`t fall in love with any stocks. Be objective as well and have an exit strategy in place.
The process to be avoided
Avoid investing in stocks where understanding the facts is difficult for you. (If you find any difficulty in understanding any sector then don`t involved in that)
Avoid over-leveraged(companies taking huge debt) business.
Eg: Adani, coffee day, etcAvoid companies with account manipulations.
Avoid highly regulated sectors(susceptible to government norms, against pollution, chemical producing companies, etc)
Eg: ITC is a good example when it is in the cigar business before diversifying.Avoid PSU
Identifying strength stocks
Apart from the fundamental triggers in a company look at a catalyst for stock price movement.
Eg: The catalyst of railway stocks is government funding. Super speed trainsMovement in stock price because of positive event after the NEGLECT phase
The upward trend starts after a period of time
Look at the breakout after the Neglect Phase.
Past Breakouts
Present Breakouts
Market sectors:
Level 1:(Easy)
FMCG
Platform-related business - CDSL, BSE, Nykaa, Zomato, CE info systems
Retail industry -
Building Materials - Cables& Wires, Steel, Sanitary
Consumer Durables
Hospital Industry - Narayana Hrudayalaya(learn Greenfield Capex, Brownfield Capex)
Exchanges - IEX, MCX
Automobile
QSP(Quick Service Restaurant)
Level 2(Medium)
Capital Goods
Banking Industry
Agrochemicals
specialty chemicals
Automobiles
Cement
Leve3(Hard)
Pharmaceuticals
Life and General Insurance Companies (we are unable to value this company. We can review premiums we cannot predict death)
EPC & Infra
Telecom (AMny companies like Idea etc have huge debt because it was stuck for a long period)
metals
real estate
Note: Buying: Both Fundamental and technical are used.
Selling: Technical comes first (because FII and DII investors have information prior and they will exit from stock if any -ve news. So we can see that in the graph later news will be available to retailers like us)